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	<title>The RiffTrax Blog &#187; Predictions</title>
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		<itunes:keywords>mst3k, rifftrax, mike nelson, comedy, mst, mystery science theater 3000, rifftracks, michael j. nelson, mystery science theater</itunes:keywords>
		<itunes:subtitle>The Official RiffTrax Podcast!</itunes:subtitle>
		<itunes:summary>RiffTrax presents: Ask Mike! Our semi-regular podcast where fans can submit their questions and Mike will answer them personally! RiffTrax is an innovative new site featuring the hilarious DVD commentaries of Michael J. Nelson - Star of the legendary Mystery Science Theater 3000 (MST3K)!!!</itunes:summary>
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		<title>Rogenomics 101 Part 2: The Hill Curve</title>
		<link>http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/09/09/rogenomics-101-part-2-the-hill-curve/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/09/09/rogenomics-101-part-2-the-hill-curve/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Sep 2008 13:22:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kevin Murphy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Events]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/09/09/rogenomics-101-part-2-the-hill-curve/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One of the most exciting aspects of Rogenomics is its ability to adapt to new Hollywood trends yet remain the most accurate predictor of their outcome.  Last time we observed some basic principles; now let&#8217;s observe one of the recent additions to the pantheon of Leading Rogenomic Indicators (LRI&#8217;s), Jonah Hill. Jonah has dependably [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One of the most exciting aspects of Rogenomics is its ability to adapt to new Hollywood trends yet remain the most accurate predictor of their outcome.  <a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/09/02/rogenomics-101/">Last time we observed some basic principles</a>; now let&#8217;s observe one of the recent additions to the pantheon of Leading Rogenomic Indicators (LRI&#8217;s), Jonah Hill. Jonah has dependably served major Rogenomic models as a null integer &#8211; a place-holding cypher with no intrinsic value of his own. When plotted on a grid, His presence in movies has no perceivable effect on the success or failure of said film.</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/Hill_Curve.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="Hill Curve"></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/Hill_Curve_Adjusted.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="Hill Curve Adjusted"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/Hill_Curve_Adjusted.jpg" alt="Hill Curve Adjusted" class="pp_image" height="290" width="450" /></a></p>
<p>(The apparent anomaly occurring  around <em>Walk Hard </em>is commonly explained by the Meadows Effect hypothesis, which argues that any movie featuring Tim Meadows will see a significant across-the-board downturn in quality and performance.)</p>
<p>However, recent developments  in Rogenomic theory are predicting a gradual realignment and possible convergence of LRI&#8217;s which will have a powerful impact on the future of filmed entertainment.  Take a look at this corollary to the Hornet Theorem:</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/orig_seth_prog_1.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="seth prog 1"></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/orig_seth_prog_1.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="seth prog 1"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/seth_prog_1.jpg" alt="seth prog 1" class="pp_image" height="375" width="450" /></a></p>
<p>Not to suggest that Seth Rogen will reverse in age or height;  keep in mind that this progression moves in both directions.  This is accepted to indicate that if conditions persist, one of several outcomes are possible: Seth Rogen will become Jonah Hill; Jonah Hill will become Seth Rogen; or the two will merge in a sort of Superseth Convergence, the outcome of which is wildly unstable and possibly dangerous.  However, the supposition that existing conditions will persist is called into question by the following probability:</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/orig_hills_prob.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="hills prob"></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/orig_hills_prob.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="hills prob"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/hills_prob.jpg" alt="hills prob" class="pp_image" height="180" width="450" /></a></p>
<p>This of course follows the Sizemorean Curve and applies the Nolte Rule, both of which create unknowns in typical outcomes and increase the standard deviation.  Yet in fact, real-world proof, both of progression and probability, has been observed in the field:</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/judd_apatow02.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="judd apatow02"></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/judd_apatow02.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="judd apatow02"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/judd_apatow02.jpg" alt="judd apatow02" class="pp_image" height="211" width="450" /></a></p>
<p>This trend, while neither inevitable nor irreversable, tends to support the general principle that schlubs will always move toward a state of inertia.  Next time we will discuss the declining influence of Sandlerian Rogenomics and the surprising accuracy of the Rule of Sequels.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>13</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Rogenomics 101</title>
		<link>http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/09/02/rogenomics-101/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/09/02/rogenomics-101/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Sep 2008 19:43:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kevin Murphy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[In the Media]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Predictions]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[movies]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/09/02/rogenomics-101/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Folks, success in Hollywood is not as much a matter of blind luck and cult membership as some people would like to think.  Regarding the seemingly mercurial nature of the box office,  screenwriting legend William Goldman famously postulated, &#8220;Nobody knows anything.&#8221;
Mr. Goldman needs a primer in Rogenomics.
Simply stated, Rogenomics serves to express the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Folks, success in Hollywood is not as much a matter of blind luck and cult membership as some people would like to think.  Regarding the seemingly mercurial nature of the box office,  screenwriting legend William Goldman famously postulated, &#8220;Nobody knows anything.&#8221;</p>
<p>Mr. Goldman needs a primer in Rogenomics.</p>
<p>Simply stated, Rogenomics serves to express the apparent vicissitudes of Hollywood as a function of the interaction of certain foundational elements including and in relation to, but not limited to, Seth Rogen. These elements, interacting with &#8211; and sometimes against &#8211; each other, are subtle yet universal forces, which taken as a whole embody a system for explaining succinctly why a film as seemingly worthless as, say, <em>Superbad</em> is actually the monolithic model of the future. Let&#8217;s explain it in simple Rogenomic terms.  First principles:</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/seth_equals_money.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="seth equals money"></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/seth_equals_money.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="seth equals money"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/seth_equals_money.jpg" alt="seth equals money" class="pp_image" height="181" width="450" /></a></p>
<p>Essentially, that Seth Rogen is Money; as a medium of exchange and a storehouse of value, the two are interchangeable.   This is the most fundamental statement of pure Rogenomics.  But before we scrap the Federal Reserve and convert to a Rogen Standard, you should know that many consider Pure Rogenomics to be dangerously oversimplified; to that end I&#8217;m a student of the Aptovian School, based on this constant:</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/apatows_constant.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="apatows constant"></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/apatows_constant.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="apatows constant"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/apatows_constant.jpg" alt="apatows constant" class="pp_image" height="180" width="450" /></a></p>
<p>In which <em>x</em> equals anything Judd Apatow touches, not limited to the inclusion of, nor diminished by the absence of, Seth Rogen.   Perhaps it&#8217;s an oversimplification, but the Apatovian School (and its Sandlerian and Ferrellian counterparts) would dispute the truth of &#8220;Rogen equals Money,&#8221; without Apatow, especially over time, expressed thusly:</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/seth_minus.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="seth minus"></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/seth_minus.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="seth minus"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/seth_minus.jpg" alt="seth minus" class="pp_image" height="181" width="450" /></a></p>
<p>Within the Aptovian Rogenomic discipline, then, we can confidently use these elements to predict the future.  Take for example the upcoming movie <em>The Green Hornet</em>, in which Seth Rogen is playing the shadowy limo-riding superhero.  For this role, Rogen has slimmed down, muscled up and attempted to shed his elemental schlubness &#8211; patently self-contradictory, and about as likely as water shedding its &#8220;hydrogen-ness.&#8221;  Here&#8217;s what happens when we formulate these components as a statement of Rogenomics:</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/hornet_theorem_1.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="hornet theorem 1"></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/hornet_theorem_1.jpg" alt="hornet theorem 1" class="pp_image" height="181" width="450" /></p>
<p></a></p>
<p>Absent schlubness and Apatovity, Seth will always become Robert Wuhl; therefore the movie is doomed to failure. However, put Seth back on the lard-and-donut diet, and hire on Judd Apatow, and it projects like this:</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/green_hornet_apatovian_sol_1.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="green hornet apatovian sol 1"></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/green_hornet_apatovian_sol_1.jpg" alt="green hornet apatovian sol 1" class="pp_image" height="181" width="450" /></p>
<p></a></p>
<p>Perhaps the Green Hornet is a belching, hapless cowardly pervert, without a single virtue, yet who is allowed to French-kiss the likes of Jessica Alba. Perhaps he&#8217;s a late-stage wino who staggers around town in his underpants.  He could be a skin-popping mass murderer who dresses in Nazi drag and sings Charles Manson&#8217;s folk songs &#8211; the point is that <em>it doesn&#8217;t matter</em>.  This solution will produce consistently positive results every time;  the rest is just window dressing.</p>
<p>Next time we&#8217;ll discuss the exciting new developments in Rogenomics, particularly the introduction of  Jonah Hill as a null integer, a Rogenomic cypher if you will, able to occupy a place in any equation without affecting the outcome.  In the meantime, a quick look at the simple  non-Apatovian exception that earned Rogenomics the attention of the Nobel Committee:</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/hobbiton_exception.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="hobbiton exception"></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/hobbiton_exception.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="hobbiton exception"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/hobbiton_exception.jpg" alt="hobbiton exception" class="pp_image" height="180" width="450" /></a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>40</slash:comments>
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		<title>BIG NEWS!  Running Mate Announced!</title>
		<link>http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/08/05/big-news-running-mate-announced/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/08/05/big-news-running-mate-announced/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Aug 2008 16:03:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kevin Murphy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Events]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[

]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/orig_monty_ventura_08.png" rel="lightbox" title="monty ventura 08"></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/orig_monty_ventura_08.png" rel="lightbox" title="monty ventura 08"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/monty_ventura_08.png" alt="monty ventura 08" class="pp_image" height="265" width="450" /></a></p>
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		<title>NOW we have a race.</title>
		<link>http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/08/01/now-we-have-a-race/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/08/01/now-we-have-a-race/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Aug 2008 18:07:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Kevin Murphy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Events]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[

]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/monty_08.png" rel="lightbox" title="monty 08"></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/monty_08.png" rel="lightbox" title="monty 08"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/monty_08.png" alt="monty 08" class="pp_image" height="203" width="450" /></a></p>
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		<title>Bold Prediction</title>
		<link>http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/03/14/bold-prediction/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.rifftrax.com/2008/03/14/bold-prediction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Mar 2008 19:30:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Conor Lastowka</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Predictions]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[
Before 2008 is halfway done, Wendy&#8217;s will follow up the spectacular success of the Baconator and the new Spicy Baconator with the third and final chapter in the trilogy:  The Breakfast Baconator.  You heard it here first.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/Carnac.jpg" rel="lightbox" title="Carnac"><img src="http://blog.rifftrax.com/wp-content/photos/Carnac.jpg" alt="Carnac" class="centered" height="346" width="350" /></a></p>
<p>Before 2008 is halfway done, Wendy&#8217;s will follow up the spectacular success of the Baconator and the new <a href="http://www.wendys.com/food/Product.jsp?family=1&amp;product=297">Spicy Baconator</a> with the third and final chapter in the trilogy:  <strong>The Breakfast Baconator</strong>.  You heard it here first.</p>
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